Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.712767 0.817429 0.931343 1.064433 1.215558 1.381727 1.578193
2024-12-29 0.559899 0.702126 0.870271 1.083290 1.345535 1.657379 2.055903
2025-01-05 0.434214 0.591621 0.792493 1.066616 1.429867 1.893524 2.528952
2025-01-12 0.352607 0.518937 0.746744 1.079619 1.551394 2.193504 3.130728
2025-01-19 0.279218 0.441975 0.680212 1.051314 1.611156 2.419668 3.670089
2025-01-26 0.239883 0.405956 0.664277 1.090744 1.771464 2.808326 4.497092
2025-02-02 0.211340 0.380605 0.659149 1.144337 1.959946 3.264163 5.490705
2025-02-09 0.180631 0.345258 0.631123 1.155073 2.079992 3.628166 6.390224
2025-02-16 0.154156 0.311844 0.599979 1.154117 2.178364 3.967730 7.293978
2025-02-23 0.133059 0.284061 0.573618 1.156331 2.280899 4.325656 8.274906
2025-03-02 0.115325 0.259229 0.548176 1.155273 2.375751 4.680112 9.293683
2025-03-09 0.103179 0.243446 0.537508 1.180731 2.523902 5.150030 10.585377
2025-03-16 0.089543 0.222015 0.512228 1.173536 2.608615 5.515008 11.734760
2025-03-23 0.080549 0.209319 0.503387 1.199775 2.766442 6.045431 13.284307
2025-03-30 0.069963 0.190625 0.477924 1.185022 2.834043 6.400168 14.519692
2025-04-06 0.062861 0.179120 0.467047 1.201837 2.974144 6.925721 16.185127
2025-04-13 0.054191 0.161646 0.438651 1.172055 3.002346 7.210836 17.361465
2025-04-20 0.050376 0.156578 0.440374 1.216876 3.214467 7.935029 19.616197
2025-04-27 0.047587 0.153838 0.447660 1.277112 3.473196 8.798701 22.298961
2025-05-04 0.043114 0.145153 0.437458 1.289535 3.612957 9.397936 24.428348
2025-05-11 0.038699 0.135659 0.423297 1.288805 3.718381 9.926692 26.451206
2025-05-18 0.034930 0.127366 0.411080 1.291485 3.833326 10.493261 28.637023
2025-05-25 0.031491 0.119379 0.398317 1.290456 3.937965 11.046386 30.855592